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 MISSION 
                    STATUS ARCHIVE:
 SCIENCE STATUS
 04-25-07 to 02.07.08
  
                   Current scientific objectives and 
                    findingsSix baseline mission objectives, crafted in the form of questions, 
                    were formulated in order to address the overall AIM mission 
                    goal including: (1) What is the global morphology of PMC particle 
                    size, occurrence frequency and dependence upon H2O and temperature?; 
                    (2) Does gravity wave activity enhance PMC formation by perturbing 
                    the required temperature for condensation and nucleation?; 
                    (3) How does dynamical variability control the length of the 
                    cold summer mesopause season, its latitudinal extent and possible 
                    inter-hemispheric asymmetry?; (4) What are the relative roles 
                    of gas phase chemistry, surface chemistry, dynamics and condensation 
                    /sublimation in determining the abundance and variability 
                    of water vapor in the polar mesosphere?; (5) Is PMC formation 
                    controlled solely by changes in the frost point or do extraterrestrial 
                    forcings such as cosmic dust influx or ionization sources 
                    play a role?; (6) What is needed to establish a physical basis 
                    for the study of mesospheric climate change and its relationship 
                    to global change? This last objective will be accomplished 
                    by using results from the first five to validate mechanisms 
                    using the NCAR Whole Atmosphere Community climate Model (WACCM) 
                    PMC model and other models. The method of “hindcasting” 
                    will be used with AIM and past satellite data to validate 
                    the models and then forecasting will be done to assess future 
                    changes.
 
 All three AIM instruments are working well and returning excellent 
                    scientific data. Specific contributions of these instruments 
                    and scientific accomplishments thus far are summarized in 
                    the next two sections.
 Specific contributions of instruments
 SOFIE
 
 The Solar Occultation For Ice Experiment (SOFIE) instrument 
                    began science observations on 14 May 2007. SOFIE performs 
                    solar occultation measurements in 16 spectral bands that are 
                    used to retrieve vertical profiles of temperature, O3, H2O, 
                    CO2, CH4, NO, and PMC extinction at 10 wavelengths. Each day 
                    SOFIE provides 15 sunset measurements at latitudes ranging 
                    from 65° - 85°S (depending on time of year) and 15 
                    sunrise measurements at latitudes from 65° - 85°N. 
                    SOFIE images the sun with a 2D detector array to obtain pointing 
                    knowledge of the FOV position relative to the sun center to 
                    within ±0.1 arc second through image edge analysis. 
                    As a result, SOFIE obtains an unprecedented fidelity of observation 
                    altitude and angle. This allows the inference of refraction 
                    angle profiles, from solar extent measurements, that are used 
                    to retrieve temperature from ~55km down into the upper troposphere, 
                    independent of transmission models. SOFIE is the first occultation 
                    sensor to successfully use this technique to such high altitudes.
 
 A high quality first version of all products, except for CO2 
                    and NO, is now being produced routinely. The latter two products 
                    are being delayed because of minor algorithm and instrument 
                    issues, typical of early periods of satellite missions. These 
                    data will be released soon. The first public release of the 
                    current data occurred in February 2008. Figure 2.2.1-1 shows 
                    the H2O and O3 evolution over the course of the 2007 PMC NH 
                    season illustrating the high data quality. Profiles are shown 
                    at 5-day increments. Note the rapid H2O changes in the profiles 
                    in the early part of the season (green to yellow) . The spectral 
                    bandpass for the water channel was positioned at 2.5 µm, 
                    where the ice refractive index is at a minimum, providing 
                    H2O retrievals that are completely insensitive to PMCs. This 
                    allows simultaneous and totally independent water and ice 
                    measurements, an immeasurable benefit to AIM science.
 
 SOFIE has 8 channels, each consisting of two broadband radiometer 
                    measurements, and their differences measured at high gain. 
                    The difference signals are effectively high precision extinction 
                    measurements of the primary gas for the relevant channel. 
                    Signal-to-noise observed in-orbit has been steady, ranging 
                    from 2.7x105 to 5.0x106, depending on channel, all meeting 
                    or exceeding science requirements.
 
 SOFIE depends on spacecraft attitude control, which has been 
                    excellent, for pointing and maintaining the FOV pointed towards 
                    the center of the sun. Both pointing precision and accuracy 
                    are typically ± 3-5 arc seconds, much better than required. 
                    The experiment is being operated at 100% duty cycle in a 100% 
                    autonomous mode. Data collection success is better than 99%. 
                    All systems have been stable with no degradation detected 
                    or predicted.
 CIPS
 The Cloud Imaging and Particle Size (CIPS) experiment on AIM 
                    is a wide angle (120° along track by 80° across track) 
                    imager consisting of four identical cameras arranged in a 
                    cross pattern. The CIPS instrument is fully operational on 
                    orbit. All four cameras are performing flawlessly. CIPS provides 
                    images of PMCs with a spatial resolution of 1 x 2 km in the 
                    nadir and about 5 km at the edges of the forward and aft cameras. 
                    The spatial resolution of CIPS is unprecedented, resulting 
                    in a many fold increase over previous PMC measurements especially 
                    with respect to its very large wide angle field of view. Although 
                    limited narrow strips of PMC images were acquired by the MSX 
                    UVISI instrument [Carbury et al., 2003], CIPS provides full 
                    spatial coverage at high resolution over the entire polar 
                    cap. Furthermore, CIPS is unique in its ability to image clouds 
                    at a large range of scattering angles, which is crucial for 
                    ice particle size determination.
 
 The four CIPS camera images are merged and binned to form 
                    a single display we call a scene with an averaged spatial 
                    resolution of 5 x 5 km. A scene is depicted in Figure 2.2.2-1. 
                    The scene spatial coverage is 2000 km along the satellite 
                    track and 1000 km across track. The red and yellow areas depict 
                    strong PMCs in the field of view. As the satellite moves in 
                    orbit, any given cloud is viewed seven times at a large range 
                    of scattering angles.
 
 The orbit-to-orbit changes of the PMC features are revealing 
                    new information regarding their horizontal motions, and ice 
                    particle lifetimes. Measurement of mean particle size is a 
                    critical quantity for understanding the microphysics of PMCs. 
                    The unique ability of CIPS to measure the same PMC region 
                    in seven consecutive images (at seven different scattering 
                    angles) represents an observing technique for measuring particle 
                    sizes not possible from any other ground- or space-based observations. 
                    For the first time, CIPS data now make quantitative comparisons 
                    possible with global models, because of the availability of 
                    near-simultaneous data for temperature, water vapor, meteoric 
                    dust, and other gases that are the key forcing parameters 
                    for mesospheric ice formation.
 
 CDE
 The Cosmic Dust Experiment (CDE) on the AIM satellite is an 
                    instrument designed to monitor the variability of the cosmic 
                    dust influx into Earth’s mesosphere in order to address 
                    its role in the formation of PMCs. CDE determines the magnitude 
                    and characterizes the temporal and spatial variability of 
                    the cosmic dust influx, allowing for direct correlation studies 
                    with PMC frequency and brightness.
 
 CDE has a sensor area of approximately 0.1 m2, and can detect 
                    particles greater than approximately 1 ?m in radius, by recording 
                    impact generated signals on thin plastic-film detectors. The 
                    detectors are made of permanently polarized Polyvinylidene 
                    Fluoride films (PVDF), a mechanically and thermally stable, 
                    radiation resistant material. Twelve detectors face the zenith 
                    direction, allowing them to record cosmic dust impacts, while 
                    two detectors are completely covered and located on the underside 
                    of the instrument deck in order to measure the background 
                    noise.
 
 CDE was successfully commissioned on May 23, 2006 and has 
                    thereafter been continuously recording events. Since commissioning, 
                    the instrument has experienced a higher than anticipated level 
                    of noise across all detectors that is uncorrelated with spacecraft 
                    activities. The extreme temperature variations seen by CDE 
                    are a possible noise source that was not anticipated, and 
                    is currently being investigated in laboratory testing. Concurrently, 
                    ground algorithms are being refined to identify and remove 
                    noise events from the science data. These successful algorithms 
                    are based on pattern recognition techniques that exploit the 
                    spatial and temporal properties of the observed noise patterns. 
                    The success of the approach is verified by comparing the cumulative 
                    dust flux measured by CDE to earlier observations (Fig. 2.2.3-1). 
                    The reliability of these newly developed algorithms indicate 
                    that CDE will be capable of resolving the spatial (Fig. 2.2.3-2) 
                    and temporal variability of the cosmic dust influx. An extended 
                    period of observations will greatly improve our counting statistics 
                    allowing for the observation of even the possible year-to-year 
                    variability of the dust influx.
 Scientific accomplishments since May 
                    2007 Observatory Commissioning 
 PMC Maps, Seasonal Morphology, 
                    Structures
 
 Images from the CIPS instrument have been used to generate 
                    the first maps of daily cloud brightness at high spatial resolution 
                    for the northern and southern 2007 seasons, to determine mesospheric 
                    ice particle properties and ice mass, and to unveil new cloud 
                    features. An example of a daily cloud map in the heart of 
                    the cloud season is shown in Figure 2.3.1-1. The pixel size 
                    is 5 x 5 km, making this the best spatially resolved cloud 
                    image ever taken from space. Similar maps are generated each 
                    day of the cloud season and show the time evolution of cloud 
                    presence in great detail. The hole over the pole is due to 
                    lack of data.
 
 In addition to the clear gravity wave features in the CIPS 
                    scenes, cloud features such as 'ice rings' and spatially small 
                    but bright clouds have prompted a fresh look into the dynamics 
                    controlling the summer mesosphere. The ice ring features (see 
                    Figure 2.2.2-1) can be caused by gravity waves, but may also 
                    be due to turbulent mixing from vertically displaced air. 
                    Ice rings appear in circular or oval shapes with diameters 
                    that vary from ten to several hundred kilometers or greater. 
                    They have been photographed from the ground, but never explained. 
                    Another indication of dynamical control of the summer mesosphere 
                    is seen in the relatively frequent appearance of spatially 
                    small (~20 - 30 km diameter) but bright clouds. The cloud 
                    brightness may approach four times the Rayleigh background 
                    at small scattering angles. These bright clouds have not been 
                    reported previously and may be a manifestation of an intense 
                    small-scale upwelling. These represent still another unsuspected 
                    aspect of the complicated dynamics that controls transport 
                    and temperature in the heart of the cloud season.
 
 PMC Environment
 
 SOFIE is producing unprecedented measurements of key parameters 
                    from the lower stratosphere up to 95 km and higher, depending 
                    on product. Temperature, H2O, CH4, and O3 are included in 
                    the January 2008 release, with CO2 and NO to be added in the 
                    next release. The time versus height cross sections of SOFIE 
                    H2O in Figure 2.2.1-1 illustrates the development of water 
                    vapor versus altitude in the PMC environment during the 2007 
                    northern cloud season. Water vapor, an essential gas for PMC 
                    formation, is measured at a vertical resolution of 1.6 km 
                    and precision of less than 21 ppbv. The seasonal evolution 
                    of water vapor is characterized by a steady increase in mixing 
                    ratio, which is caused by vertical transport due to upwelling, 
                    and also by sublimation of PMC particles below ~83 km. The 
                    abrupt decrease in H2O above PMC altitudes is consistent with 
                    a loss of water vapor due to ice growth, and also with destruction 
                    of H2O by increasing photolysis at higher altitudes. An example 
                    of the quality of the underlying profiles is demonstrated 
                    in Figure 2.3.2-1, which shows a typical set of retrieved 
                    water vapor profiles, in this case for August 12, 2007. The 
                    various profiles indicate where PMCs have formed as evident 
                    by reduced water vapor near 85 km, and where PMCs have sublimated 
                    resulting in enhanced water vapor just above 80 km. The mesospheric 
                    ozone minimum is observed near 79 km altitude, with a peak 
                    observed near 90 km (Figure 2.2.2-1). O3 enhancement is observed 
                    at altitudes from roughly 80 to 95 km during times that ice 
                    is present. For example, at 92 km the mixing ratio increases 
                    from 0.8 ppmv on 22 May (30 days before solstice) to ~1.1 
                    ppmv by 11 July, returning to ~0.8 ppmv by 15 August. Siskind 
                    et al. [2007] discuss the increase in O3 above PMCs and determined 
                    that the change was consistent with dehydration above the 
                    ice layer resulting in lowered HOx. These observations of 
                    highly transient features, combined with the other SOFIE products 
                    are giving a first-time detailed look at the physics of PMCs.
 
 PMC Microphysical Properties
 
 The multi-wavelength SOFIE observations are shedding new light 
                    on PMCs with unprecedented sensitivity and signal-to-noise. 
                    While previous instruments suggested that ice is present about 
                    half the time near 70?N, SOFIE now shows that ice is almost 
                    always present at these latitudes during the PMC season. This 
                    is demonstrated in Figure 2.3.3-1a, where a time series of 
                    SOFIE ice occurrence frequency is compared to SME and HALOE 
                    results. Note that downgrading SOFIE sensitivity to be consistent 
                    with HALOE and SME yields good agreement between SOFIE and 
                    the SME and HALOE frequencies, confirming that the lower ice 
                    frequencies recorded by the older satellites were a result 
                    of reduced sensitivity. SOFIE has also demonstrated that mesospheric 
                    ice exists as a continuous layer from ~80 km to altitude to 
                    the mesopause (~87 km) and often higher, as shown in Figure 
                    2.3.3-1b. This view is supported by model predictions [Rapp 
                    and Thomas, 2006], but is in contrast with previous measurements 
                    that were not sensitive enough to detect the most tenuous 
                    ice populations.
 
 These new discoveries were possible because SOFIE is 15 - 
                    200 times more sensitive to PMC particles than previous instruments, 
                    including lidars. SOFIE measures PMC extinction at 11 wavelengths 
                    from 0.330 to 5.006 ?m, with 1.5 km vertical resolution and 
                    a precision of better than 10-7 km-1 in extinction. In addition, 
                    SOFIE contains channels located at the peak in the ice absorption 
                    spectrum (~3 ?m wavelength) where PMC extinction is ~100 times 
                    greater than for surrounding NIR and IR wavelengths. The unique 
                    combination of measurement wavelengths allows SOFIE observations 
                    to be used to determine vertical profiles of PMC ice mass 
                    density, particle shape, and Gaussian size distributions.
 
 Time series of SOFIE ice layer altitudes, occurrence frequency, 
                    mass density, particle shape (axial ratio of a spheroid), 
                    effective radius, and water vapor are also shown in Figure 
                    2.3.3-1 for 69?N average latitude. Ice layers with greater 
                    vertical extent are found to have higher mass densities, which 
                    supports current growth /sedimentation theories which suggest 
                    that thicker saturated regions that are thicker in vertical 
                    extent will provide increased growth time for falling particles. 
                    SOFIE offers the first observations of PMC particle shape 
                    versus altitude. SOFIE observations indicate that PMC particles 
                    are non-spherical at all altitudes, with axial ratios of about 
                    2.2 (i.e., oblate spheroids) at the PMC extinction peak (Zmax). 
                    Examining particle shape as a function of altitude reveals 
                    axial ratios in excess of 3 at altitudes above and below the 
                    extinction peak, and a strong anti-correlation to ice mass 
                    density (Figure 2.3.3-2). These new results suggest that changes 
                    should be made to the current treatment of microphysical processes 
                    including particle sedimentation and possibly nucleation and 
                    growth. SOFIE indicates PMC particle effective radii at Zmax 
                    increasing from ~20 nm in the early season to over 40 nm by 
                    early August. A correlated and steady increase is observed 
                    in water vapor measured at Zmax (Figure 2.3.3-1), in conjunction 
                    with decreasing particle concentrations (not shown). A robust 
                    relationship between particle size and water vapor is found 
                    to hold when examining variability over time at one altitude, 
                    and when examining the altitude dependence of H2O and particle 
                    size. These findings point to a fundamental connection between 
                    ice particle characteristics and water vapor. Increased water 
                    vapor near 83 km is expected due to upwelling and also from 
                    ice sublimation [Hervig et al., 2003], and it now appears 
                    that that increased H2O is in turn modifying the ice particles 
                    characteristics. SOFIE results have been compared to concurrent 
                    PMC measurements from the ALOMAR lidar (69?N) during 2007 
                    [Baumgarten et al., 2008], which were used to determine various 
                    PMC properties including Gaussian size distributions. Example 
                    results are shown in Figure 2.3.3-3, where histograms of the 
                    Gaussian size distribution parameters determined at the extinction 
                    peak altitude from SOFIE and the lidar are compared. The agreement 
                    is excellent for particle concentration, median radius, and 
                    distribution width. The notable difference is that SOFIE indicates 
                    the presence of smaller particles at higher concentrations 
                    than the lidar, a difference that is consistent with SOFIE 
                    having greater sensitivity to smaller particles. SOFIE is 
                    also in good agreement with the range of values indicated 
                    by model results and previous lidar measurements, as shown 
                    in Figure 2.3.3-3.
 
 Recent publications 
                    (on-line bibliography)
 The AIM data processing and validation has been moving at 
                    a faster pace than anticipated based on past experience with 
                    large satellite data sets. Even though launch occurred less 
                    than 10 months ago, Nine AIM papers were presented at the 
                    international conference on Layered Phenomena in the Mesopause 
                    Region in Fairbanks Alaska in August, 2007 and 15 were presented 
                    at the 2007 Fall AGU meeting. The fact that so many papers 
                    could be presented so soon after launch attests to the high 
                    quality of the AIM results. In addition to these presentations, 
                    14 papers have been submitted for publication in the Journal 
                    of Atmospheric and Terrestrial Physics. A full AIM post-launch 
                    bibliography and submitted versions of the journal articles 
                    are available on the AIM web site at “aim.hamptonu.edu”.
 
 Impact of results as evidenced 
                    by citations, press releases and other activities
 
 The AIM mission was only recently launched, so there are no 
                    citations of papers published. However, the mission has received 
                    extensive media attention world wide both before and after 
                    launch. A press conference was held at the 2007 
                    Fall AGU meeting that was attended by approximately 15 
                    reporters including major news organizations such as the AP, 
                    Reuters and the BBC. The conference went for about an hour 
                    and had to be terminated because of room use. The mission 
                    has been publicized broadly throughout the world. A few of 
                    the many news organizations that have published AIM 
                    stories either online, in print, or both include: Space 
                    News, Chemical & Engineering News, The BBC World News-Online, 
                    Cosmos Magazine in Australia, Forbes-Online, MSNBC-Online, 
                    The Examiner-Online (Philadelphia and Minneapolis), The Baltimore 
                    Examiner, CBSNews.com, Los Angeles Times- Online, Houston 
                    Chronicle- Online, Washington Post- Online, the New York Times, 
                    USA Today – Online, Northwest Florida Daily News, Discovery 
                    Channel TV in Canada, KFMB-TV (CBS affiliate- San Diego, CA), 
                    WFED-AM (Washington D.C.), WTOP-FM (Washington D.C.), WVEC-TV 
                    (Norfolk, Virginia), WHEC-TV (NBC affiliate -Rochester, NY), 
                    KAAL-TV (ABC affiliate – Rochester-MasonCity-Austin, 
                    IA –MN), and KSL-TV (NBC affiliate Salt Lake City, UT). 
                    The AIM mission was a focus at the Fairbanks, Alaska meeting 
                    in August, 2007 on Layered Phenomena in the Mesopause Region. 
                    Also, even though it was a late breaking session for the 2007 
                    Fall AGU meeting, the noctilucent cloud session attracted 
                    over 40 papers of which 15 were addressing AIM.
 
 Productivity and vitality of 
                    the science team: Ongoing Publishable Research
 
 Baseline Science Question 1: 
                    PMC Microphysics:
 
 Achieving this objective as well as all other AIM objectives 
                    requires, first and foremost, that the AIM data be validated. 
                    Substantial progress has been made toward this goal in the 
                    eight months since data were first acquired. For example, 
                    in Figure 2.6.1-1 CIPS and SBUV PMC brightness measurements 
                    are compared. For this analysis, CIPS data were binned to 
                    match the SBUV field of view, and a cloud detection algorithm 
                    based on the SBUV algorithm [DeLand et al., 2003] was applied. 
                    The agreement is excellent, with average differences of only 
                    2%; we thus have confidence that the CIPS data are valid for 
                    scientific investigations [Benze et al., 2008].
 
 Detailed microphysical models suggest that after nucleation, 
                    PMC cloud particles will grow large enough to fall into a 
                    region of warmer temperatures where they sublimate. The resultant 
                    evaporated H2O can then be re-lofted into the region of cold 
                    temperatures where the condensation/growth/decay process cyclically 
                    repeats. One signature of this process would be a layer of 
                    enhanced H2O lying just below the cloud layer, and AIM measurements 
                    of water vapor are being used to investigate the occurrence 
                    of such water vapor enhancements (see section 2.6.4). The 
                    cycling time for this microphysical process will depend on 
                    upwelling rates, which will determine whether particles remain 
                    buoyant long enough to grow. Investigation of the PMC “rings” 
                    described in Section 2.3.1, which are likely related to mesospheric 
                    convection, is providing additional information allowing this 
                    fundamental hypothesis of PMC formation, growth, and decay 
                    to be tested.
 
 Applied to studies such as these, the AIM measurement complement 
                    is poised to address outstanding issues regarding PMC microphysics. 
                    Using statistical correlations between PMCs and H2O and temperature, 
                    we will isolate which of the two, if either, is the key driver 
                    for cloud formation. We will estimate the amount of water 
                    taken up in clouds and compare this with the measured cloud 
                    densities and particle sizes.
 
 Baseline Science Question 2: 
                    Gravity Waves:
 
 The CIPS UV imagery has provided exceptional data on the structure 
                    and variability of PMCs at high, summer-time latitudes. A 
                    key result is that the PMCs appear to be much more patchy 
                    than previously thought, exhibiting extensive “cloud-like” 
                    features. While a number of strong gravity wave events have 
                    been observed within the polar region they do not appear to 
                    be as numerous as wave events observed at lower latitudes 
                    (as determined from prior ground-based NLC and airglow measurements). 
                    Instead, the CIPS imagery shows a mixture of wave activity 
                    and large convective-like features (which may also be related 
                    to the underlying gravity wave activity). This is illustrated 
                    in Figure 2.6.2-1 which shows a processed CIPS image containing 
                    a well-defined wave event (horizontal wavelength 45 km) with 
                    many coherent crests extending over 1000 km in length. This 
                    event is evident in the upper left of the image, with a distinct 
                    boundary. Elsewhere in the scene the PMC are dominated by 
                    large dark circular structures that AIM has shown to be a 
                    common feature of PMCs.
 
 Our initial research has focused on characterizing the properties 
                    of the most prominent wave events (Chandran et al., 2008), 
                    which comprise a variety of medium and small-scale wave events 
                    (horizontal scales typically 50-300 km), often extending over 
                    exceptionally large areas. Planned research includes:
 1. In-depth investigation of occurrence frequency and latitudinal 
                    dependence of gravity waves in the northern polar cap region 
                    to determine their summer-time climatology for the first time.
 2. Measurement of the occurrence and properties of convective-like 
                    features and investigation of their potential association 
                    with gravity waves and lower atmospheric sources.
 3. Novel inter-hemispheric comparison of gravity wave occurrence 
                    and characteristics at polar latitudes using new southern-hemisphere 
                    PMC data.
 4. Exploratory investigation of gravity waves at lower latitudes 
                    using their stratospheric ozone signal in the CIPS data.
 5. Modeling the effects of the observed gravity wave events 
                    on the nucleation and growth and/or dissipation of PMCs
 
 Baseline Science Question 
                    3: Temperature Variability:
 
 We are beginning to understand the dynamics that controls 
                    the occurrence of clouds in the high latitude summer mesopause 
                    region. We have identified wave modes in the CIPS data that 
                    compare favorably with waves seen in the SABER temperature 
                    fields [Merkel et al., 2007]. We have developed a model (NOGAPS-ALPHA) 
                    which can validate the temperature and H2O fields observed 
                    by SOFIE, simulate the waves observed by CIPS and can hindcast 
                    the locations of the bright clouds seen by CIPS. One important 
                    next step is to quantify and understand the variation in cloud 
                    occurrence, brightness and properties between the northern 
                    and southern hemispheres. This is a key part of Objective 
                    3 as defined in the original AIM proposal. Since the proposal 
                    was written new results have confirmed that interhemispheric 
                    differences exist; the AIM data will allow us to better quantify 
                    those differences and to understand them for the first time.
 
 We are just now collecting data for our first southern summer. 
                    However, even at this early point, important differences have 
                    emerged between the two hemispheres. In general, SH clouds 
                    are dimmer and less frequent. This is summarized in the SOFIE 
                    data shown in Figure 2.6.3-1. The left hand figure is current 
                    data for the NH (top row: cloud altitude, bottom row: occurrence 
                    frequency) while the right hand column shows data from the 
                    2007 SH.
 
 Whereas clouds are practically ubiquitous in the NH data, 
                    with an occurrence frequency greater than 95% at solstice, 
                    in the SH, the occurrence frequency hovers in the 70-90% range. 
                    For the brightest clouds, this difference is greater; there 
                    is up to a 3X greater chance of seeing a bright cloud in the 
                    NH. This is also reflected in the CIPS imagery. We are just 
                    now beginning to compare the albedo differences seen by CIPS 
                    with the frequency and brightness differences seen by SOFIE.
 Furthermore, with the detailed composition measurements of 
                    SOFIE, we can put these differences on a physical basis. Preliminary 
                    data suggest that SH clouds are 3 km higher than in the NH 
                    (this is a greater difference than suggested from ground based 
                    measurements) and take up less overall H2O. The region from 
                    80-90 km appears to be several degrees K significantly warmer 
                    in the SH, relative to the NH (see Figure 2.6.3-2). This is 
                    consistent with HALOE (Hervig and Siskind, 2006), but with 
                    the more precise SOFIE data and more consistent polar sampling, 
                    we will be able to better study these differences throughout 
                    the season.
 
 Further, unlike the HALOE data which had to be averaged over 
                    11 years, with each year in the AIM extended mission, we will 
                    be able to build up a true year-by-year climatology of these 
                    differences. This is critical because there is currently great 
                    debate within the community as to the cause of the temperature 
                    difference between the NH and SH. Possibilities such as the 
                    orbital eccentricity [Lubken and Berger, 2007], differential 
                    filtering of gravity waves [Siskind et al., 2003], and teleconnections 
                    to the winter hemisphere [Karlsson et al., 2007] have all 
                    been raised. We will address these questions with three dimensional 
                    models of the atmosphere. The AIM data sampling pattern is 
                    identical in latitude for both hemispheres (though different 
                    in local time) and nearly identical form year to year, ideal 
                    for evaluating trends and hemispheric differences.
 
 Baseline Science Question 4: 
                    Hydrogen Chemistry:
 
 PMC particles are composed of ice that forms through condensation 
                    of water vapor under supersaturated conditions. Thus understanding 
                    the sources and sinks of water vapor is foundational to understanding 
                    the formation and evolution of PMCs. The objective of the 
                    Hydrogen Chemistry investigation is to understand the abundance 
                    and variability of water vapor along with the traces gases 
                    which are related to water vapor through chemical and dynamical 
                    processes. Study of HALOE water vapor measurements in the 
                    polar summer regions led to discovery of a narrow water vapor 
                    layer coincident with the PMC layer (Summers et al., 2001). 
                    This layer has important implications for the formation and 
                    growth of PMC particles and may be an important diagnostic 
                    for water vapor sequestering by ice particles.
 
 Figure 2.6.4-1 shows that initial results for SOFIE water 
                    vapor confirm an enhancement of water vapor within and near 
                    the bottom of the PMC layer as observed in the HALOE data. 
                    This layer develops simultaneously with the PMC layer as shown 
                    by Hervig et al. (2003) for HALOE data. The dramatically improved 
                    S/N of SOFIE over HALOE, along with SOFIE’s better vertical 
                    resolution, provide a much more accurate picture of water 
                    vapor and its connection to PMCs than was possible with HALOE 
                    data. SOFIE measurements of water vapor reveal a smaller and 
                    narrower peak in the water vapor layer near 82 km than that 
                    seen by HALOE (a 12 year climatology of HALOE measurements). 
                    These differences in the layer’s peak value and thickness 
                    persist throughout the PMC season. In monthly averages where 
                    the HALOE peak values typically exceed 10 ppmv and occasionally 
                    reaches 13 ppmv during July and August, the SOFIE water rarely 
                    exceeds 8 ppmv. These differences may be explained by the 
                    required averaging of HALOE measurements that resulted in 
                    denser thinner clouds that vary with altitude being averaged 
                    into thicker less dense clouds. The HALOE 6.6 µm location 
                    of the HALOE water channel also endured spectral interference 
                    from ice and lower S/N, both factors likely producing positive 
                    biases in retrieved water results.
 
 We believe the formation of the enhanced water layer is due 
                    to sedimentation of PMC particles which is then followed by 
                    sublimation near the base of the PMC layer (see Section 2.6.1). 
                    Taken at face value, the lower values of water vapor in the 
                    PMC layer as seen by SOFIE data imply significantly less sequestration 
                    of water than was implied by HALOE. The vertical width of 
                    the water layer in SOFIE data is very narrow, approximately 
                    3-5 km max, whereas the HALOE layer was broader by more than 
                    a factor of two, probably due to the averaging and lower vertical 
                    resolution. Also, HALOE showed an indication of a second, 
                    albeit smaller, layer near 75 km. There is no evidence of 
                    this second layer in the SOFIE data. SOIFE is leading to an 
                    improved understanding of the HALOE data analysis.
 
 Changes in the amount of water vapor within the PMC layer 
                    near 82 km might be driven by changes in residual circulation 
                    (Karlsson et al., 2007), solar UV, temperature (DeLand et 
                    al., 2003), or possibly even diurnal effects. Any of these 
                    could influence the PMC water vapor layer. If the peak water 
                    vapor is connected to solar cycle effects, then future years 
                    may exhibit higher values of water vapor as seen in some years 
                    of the HALOE observations. Also, SOFIE and HALOE sampling 
                    is not identical, so diurnal effects may explain some of the 
                    differences in water vapor seen by the two instruments. Current 
                    validation efforts are underway to understand these differences. 
                    Whether the differences are due to better SOFIE S/N, changes 
                    in mesospheric circulation, or perhaps diurnal effects, the 
                    new SOFIE data will have important implications for understanding 
                    the processes which control the water vapor sequestration 
                    by PMC particles.
 Photolysis of mesospheric water vapor initiates the catalytic 
                    odd-hydrogen (HOx) destruction of ozone in the upper mesosphere. 
                    Recently published results from HALOE [Siskind et al., 2007] 
                    suggest that ozone is enhanced above the PMC cloud layer. 
                    This might be due to dehydration and the expected anticorrelation 
                    between odd oxygen (Ox) and odd hydrogen chemistry. However, 
                    in the Siskind et al. [2007] study the effects of PMCs on 
                    temperature were shown to depend upon several poorly understood 
                    model assumptions. The use of HALOE temperatures in that study 
                    was hindered by the fact that the HALOE temperature retrieval 
                    becomes less valid above 80 km where PMC’s form. SOFIE 
                    water vapor and ozone data are of vastly better quality than 
                    the HALOE data and thus have the potential of significantly 
                    improving our understanding of the processes which control 
                    mesospheric ozone and its variation.
 
 Baseline Science Question 
                    5: Nucleation:
 
 Most microphysical studies argue that meteoric smoke is the 
                    primary PMC nucleation site by default. This is because homogeneous 
                    and ion nucleation of PMCs are highly improbable under mesospheric 
                    conditions [e.g. Witt, 1969; Gumbel, 2003]. A set of measurements 
                    relevant to the topic of cloud nucleation is that from the 
                    Cosmic Dust Experiment (CDE) on AIM. CDE determines the magnitude 
                    and characterizes the temporal and spatial variability of 
                    the cosmic dust influx, allowing for direct correlation studies 
                    with PMC frequency and brightness.
 
 As CDE data accumulates we expect to be able to better identify 
                    the spatial and temporal variability of the dust influx (Section 
                    2.2.3). A preliminary comparison of a model based on radar 
                    observations to the CDE measurements of the latitude dependence 
                    of the dust influx is shown in Figure 2.2.3-1. The absolute 
                    number of hits per day is qualitatively similar and we are 
                    studying the differences as more data becomes available.
 The resultant distribution of smoke from ablating meteors 
                    is critical in quantitatively understanding PMC microphysics. 
                    However, smoke has only been measured below 20 km [Murphy 
                    et al., 1998] and its vertical distribution is only modeled 
                    above this altitude [e.g. Hunten et al., 1980]. As a result, 
                    smoke concentrations are uncertain to several orders of magnitude, 
                    which lead to uncertainties of at least a factor of two for 
                    modeled cloud brightness and particle radius [Rapp and Thomas, 
                    2006]. Furthermore, recent work has shown that coagulating 
                    smoke to sizes large enough for PMC nucleation (~1 nm) is 
                    slow compared to meridional transport so that smoke concentrations 
                    in the polar summer are extremely low [Megner et al., 2008]. 
                    This has only heightened interest in the problem.
 We are currently studying the SOFIE data for evidence of smoke 
                    particles in the mesosphere. This was never considered possible 
                    when casting the original AIM science goals but the unprecedented 
                    sensitivity of SOFIE may allow for this detection. The weak 
                    smoke signal can be compromised by the presence of PMCs, so 
                    we are focusing on the SOFIE data from the winter hemisphere. 
                    The challenge in isolating the smoke signal is in distinguishing 
                    its weak extinction from the Rayleigh scattered signal in 
                    the upper mesosphere. A positive smoke detection would be 
                    the first of its kind in the mesosphere and provide new and 
                    valuable constraints to models of PMC formation.
 
 Baseline Science Question 6: 
                    Long Term Change
 
 Our original proposal asked: What is needed to establish a 
                    physical basis for the study of mesospheric climate change 
                    and its relationship to global change? This objective is the 
                    most far-reaching goal of AIM, and thus has the longest time-table, 
                    perhaps requiring data from all four seasons of the nominal 
                    AIM mission. The necessary milestones are: (1) validation 
                    of the AIM instruments, and (2) establishing causal links 
                    between PMC properties and the forcing variables.
 
 Validation: An important milestone in validation of CIPS with 
                    the well-calibrated SBUV experiments (three of which are operating 
                    contemporaneously with AIM) has already been accomplished, 
                    as discussed in Sec. 2.6.1. The continuous time series of 
                    data from eight identical SBUV experiments indicate a clear 
                    increase of PMC brightness and frequency over the past three 
                    decades [DeLand et al., 2007]. In addition, the SOFIE extinction 
                    measurements are being compared to HALOE measurements (Section 
                    2.3.3). Validation of CDE is more challenging since this is 
                    the first spatially and temporarily resolved measurement of 
                    the dust influx. However, the total average influx reported 
                    by CDE shows a good agreement with existing models based on 
                    a variety of sources, including in situ measurements by the 
                    Long Duration Exposure Facility (LDEF), and remote sensing 
                    radar observations (see Figure 2.2.3-1).
 
 Establish causal links: This involves establishing statistical 
                    relationships between PMC properties and the forcing atmospheric 
                    variables, which are believed to be temperature, water vapor 
                    and cloud seed nuclei [Thomas, 1991]. SOFIE and CIPS measure 
                    both PMC and the relevant atmospheric variables in a common 
                    volume. The AIM data set, plus the global TIMED SABER measurements 
                    of water vapor and temperature, provide for the first time, 
                    the data needed to establish these causal links. Another tool 
                    essential to this endeavor is a comprehensive model that includes 
                    coupled chemistry, dynamics and ice microphysics. Dynamical 
                    transport of ice particles between their genesis in the cold 
                    polar regions and their appearance at lower latitudes may 
                    be a critical element in this problem [Berger and von Zahn, 
                    2007]. Two versions of the WACCM GCM, combined with detailed 
                    ice nucleation, growth, bulk motion, and sublimation are now 
                    available for detailed simulations of both the dynamics and 
                    microphysical processes [Marsh et al, 2007; Bardeen et al., 
                    2007].
 
 Training Young Professionals
 
 The education of future scientists is a priority with the 
                    AIM science team and we actively involve students in every 
                    facet of the mission. Currently there is one post doctorial 
                    scientist, ten graduate students working toward doctoral degrees, 
                    and six undergraduate students. Our students work on every 
                    aspect of the AIM science questions and initiatives including 
                    data analysis, modeling, laboratory data analysis, and algorithm 
                    development. Eight of the graduate students and one undergraduate 
                    student have been the first author on papers presented at 
                    scientific meetings and will be first authors on papers submitted 
                    to peer reviewed scientific journals that have been submitted 
                    for publication. In addition, 24 undergraduate and 5 graduate 
                    students have participated in the AIM satellite control activities 
                    at LASP.
 
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